Reaksi Pasar Modal Indonesia atas Pelantikan Menteri Keuangan 2025 pada Subsektor Perbankan

Authors

  • Sherif Prast Erbean Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim image/svg+xml
  • Muhammad Nanang Choiruddin Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim image/svg+xml

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.36636/dialektika.v11i2.10093

Keywords:

Event Study, Cabinet Reshuffle, Market Reaction, Banking, Bid-Ask Spread

Abstract

This study examines the Indonesian capital market reaction to the 2025 cabinet reshuffle and inauguration of the Minister of Finance, focusing on banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. An event study was conducted using a saturated sample of 44 banking issuers, a 30-trading-day estimation period, and an 11-day event window from t-5 to t+5, with 8 September 2025 as t0. Market reaction was measured through abnormal return, cumulative abnormal return, trading volume activity, security return variability, and bid-ask spread. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, the Shapiro–Wilk normality test, and the nonparametric Wilcoxon Signed Rank test. The results show no significant differences in abnormal return, cumulative abnormal return, trading volume activity, or security return variability before and after the event, while bid-ask spread differed significantly. These findings indicate that the event mainly affected market liquidity and investor caution rather than returns, trading activity, or stock volatility.

References

Adawiyah, R., & Faozan, A. (2024). Over Reaksi Pasar Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Manufaktur Di Bursa Efek Jakarta. Journal Of Information System, Applied, Management, Accounting And Research, 8(3), 641. Https://Doi.Org/10.52362/Jisamar.V8i3.1592 DOI: https://doi.org/10.52362/jisamar.v8i3.1592

Alfalah, M. D., Novalia, N., & Kristiastuti, F. (2023). Analisis Reaksi Pasar Modal Indonesia Pada Peristiwa Reshuffle Menteri Kabinet Indonesia Maju Tahun 2020. Manners, 5(2), 109–118. Https://Doi.Org/10.56244/Manners.V5i2.627 DOI: https://doi.org/10.56244/manners.v5i2.627

Alvia, A., Anshari, H., & Batubara, M. (2022). Pengaruh Berkembangnya Pasar Modal Di Indonesia. Jurnal Akuntansi, Manajemen Dan Bisnis Digital, 1(2). Https://Doi.Org/10.37676/Jambd.V1i2.2641 DOI: https://doi.org/10.37676/jambd.v1i2.2641

Amtiran, P. Y., & Molidya, A. (2020). Pengelolaan Keuangan Negara. Journal Of Management : Small And Medium Enterprises (Smes), 12(2). Https://Doi.Org/10.35508/Jom.V12i2.2693 DOI: https://doi.org/10.35508/jom.v12i2.2693

Antari, N. W. B., & Hasibuan, H. T. (2025). Investor Reactions To The 2024 Presidential And Vice-Presidential Election Results According To Survey Institutions. Dinasti International Journal Of Education Management And Social Science, 6(6), 4736–4746. Https://Doi.Org/10.38035/Dijemss.V6i6.4976 DOI: https://doi.org/10.38035/dijemss.v6i6.4976

Anwar, C. J., Suhendra, I., Purwanda, E., Salim, A., Rakhmawati, N. A., & Jie, F. (2023). Investigating The Relationship Between Monetary Policy, Macro-Prudential Policy And Credit Risk In Indonesia Banking Industry. Heliyon, 9(7), E18229. Https://Doi.Org/10.1016/J.Heliyon.2023.E18229 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e18229

Budastra, M. A., Lukman Effendy, Robith Hudaya, & I Ketut Budastra. (2022). Reaksi Pasar Modal Indonesia Terhadap Pengumuman Reshuffle Kabinet Indonesia Maju Jilid I Dan Ii. Jurnal Bisnis Terapan, 6(1), 43–52. Https://Doi.Org/10.24123/Jbt.V6i1.4792 DOI: https://doi.org/10.24123/jbt.v6i1.4792

Fama, E. F., Fisher, L., Jensen, M. C., & Roll, R. (1969). The Adjustment Of Stock Prices To New Information. International Economic Review, 10(1), 1–21. Jstor. Https://Doi.Org/10.2307/2525569 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2525569

Fitriyani, Y., & Widodo, T. (2025). Comparative Analysis Of Stock Prices, Stock Returns And Stock Trading Volume Activities Before And After The 2024 Presidential Election Event Study On Jii Indexed Issuers On The Indonesia Stock Exchange. Inovasi: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan, Dan Manajemen, 21(1), 55–62. Https://Doi.Org/10.30872/Jinv.V21i1.2002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.30872/jinv.v21i1.2002

Frederik Franston & Luke Suciyati Amna. (2025). Analysis Of The Difference In Average Abnormal Returns Of Big Banks Stocks Before And After The Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate Changes (Study Of Events In 2022-2024). International Journal Of Accounting, Management, Economics And Social Sciences (Ijamesc), 3(1), 394–403. Https://Doi.Org/10.61990/Ijamesc.V3i1.463 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61990/ijamesc.v3i1.463

Indriani, R., & Mariana, M. (2021). Reaksi Pasar Modal Indonesia Terhadap Peristiwa Pengesahan Uu Cipta Kerja 2020 (Studi Kasus Perusahaan Yang Terdaftar Pada Lq45). Jurnal Bina Akuntansi, 8(2), 167–186. Https://Doi.Org/10.52859/Jba.V8i2.174 DOI: https://doi.org/10.52859/jba.v8i2.174

Jegarut, C. T. S., Rahayu, C. W. E. & Yulita, I. K (2021). The Capital Market Response To The Announcement Of The 2019- 2024 Indonesia Onward Cabinet System (Empirical Study On Companies Listed On Kompas Index 100). 19(2), 147-159 https://doi.org/10.32524/jkb.v19i2.292 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32524/jkb.v19i2.292

Kemuning, N. L. D., Prianthara, I. B. T., & Wistawan, I. M. A. P. (2021). Reaksi Pasar Terhadap Peristiwa Politik 2019 Di Indonesia. E-Jurnal Akuntansi, 31(7), 1746. Https://Doi.Org/10.24843/Eja.2021.V31.I07.P11 DOI: https://doi.org/10.24843/EJA.2021.v31.i07.p11

Khanifah, K., Triyani, A., & Setyahuni, S. W. (2021). Do Regional Election And Presidential Election Affect Stock Exchange? An Event Study In The Indonesian Stock Exchange. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Bisnis : Jurnal Program Studi Akuntansi, 7(1), 71–80. Https://Doi.Org/10.31289/Jab.V7i1.4454 DOI: https://doi.org/10.31289/jab.v7i1.4454

Laurensius, S., & Rahmiyati, N. (2023). Financial Performance Registered At Idx Bumn20 After The Covid-19 Pandemic In Indonesia: An Analysis Of Abnormal Return, Trading Volume, And Bid-Ask Spread. Jem17: Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen, 8(2). Https://Doi.Org/10.30996/Jem17.V8i2.9904 DOI: https://doi.org/10.30996/jem17.v8i2.9904

Listyaningsih, E., Sariningsih, E., & Mudrikah, R. (2020). Stock Market Reaction To Indonesia Presidential And Legislative Election. Binus Business Review, 11(2), 91–96. Https://Doi.Org/10.21512/Bbr.V11i2.6302 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21512/bbr.v11i2.6302

Mackinlay, A. C. (1997). Event Studies In Economics And Finance.

Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review Of Theory And Empirical Work*. The Journal Of Finance, 25(2), 383–417. Https://Doi.Org/10.1111/J.1540-6261.1970.Tb00518.X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1970.tb00518.x

Nurdin, D., Kasim, M. Y., & Farid, E. S. (2025). Event Study Of The Indonesian Presidential Election On The Capital Market In Indonesia. 7(4). 1994–2000. https://doi.org/10.56338/ijhess.v7i4.9034

Pratama, M. R., Handarini, D., & Zairin, G. M. (2024). Analisis Reaksi Pasar Modal Terhadap Pemilu Presiden Indonesia Tahun 2024. Jurnal Akuntansi, Perpajakan Dan Auditing, 5(2), 283–302. Https://Doi.Org/10.21009/Japa.0502.04 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21009/japa.0502.04

Qisthi, N., Nailiah, R., & Rizani, F. (2025). Dampak Pengumuman Hasil Pemilihan Umum 2024 Pada Emiten Lq45 Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Dinamika Ekonomi: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 18(1), 209–226. Https://Doi.Org/10.53651/Jdeb.V18i1.583 DOI: https://doi.org/10.53651/jdeb.v18i1.583

Rochimah, A., & Yuliana, I. (2024). Eleven Sectors’ Reaction To The Political Event 2023: Evidence From Indonesia Stock Exchange. Journal Of Accounting And Investment, 25(2), 526–550. Https://Doi.Org/10.18196/Jai.V25i2.21000 DOI: https://doi.org/10.18196/jai.v25i2.21000

Tamba, H. A., & Kurniasari, W. (2024). The Reaction Of Indonesian Capital Market To Political Event The Announcement Of Indonesian Presidential Election 2024 (In The Financials, Basic Materials, And Technology Sectors Listed On Indonesia Stock Exchange). 32(1). https://doi.org/10.38076/ideijeb.v6i2.557

Yuriani, I., Lating, A. I. S., & Muflihin, M. D. (2025). Capital Market Reaction To The Implementation Of The 2024 Simultaneous Election On The Jakarta Islamic Index Stock Group. International Journal Of Accounting Innovation, 1(2), 150–161. Https://Doi.Org/10.61796/Ijai.V1i2.9 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61796/ijai.v1i2.9

Published

2026-09-17

How to Cite

Reaksi Pasar Modal Indonesia atas Pelantikan Menteri Keuangan 2025 pada Subsektor Perbankan. (2026). Dialektika : Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Ilmu Sosial, 11(2), 341-350. https://doi.org/10.36636/dialektika.v11i2.10093